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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| HongKongMenace | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 85% (22–4, n=26) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $51K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 64% (21 of 33 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 52 at avg 91¢, ROI +7% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 94% (won 98% of 49) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HongKongMenace | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $47K | — | No $184K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |