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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JustADonk | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (880–694, n=1574) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.1K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #428 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (16 of 26 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −7 pts, n=100 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1581 at avg 57¢, ROI 0% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 17% of 175) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 299) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 58% of 717) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 83% of 390) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JustADonk | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.9K | — | Over $678 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $433 | Commanders $161K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K |