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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JustADonk00gringo00beachboy4primm
Record (consensus markets)56% (877–689, n=1566)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$8.0K$3.5M$5.8M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #428was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus38% (3 of 8 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)52% (11 of 21 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNFL −7 pts, n=100—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1581 at avg 57¢, ROI 0%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 17% of 175)0%3% (won 17% of 6)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 299)0%29% (won 56% of 62)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 58% of 717)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 83% of 390)0%14% (won 86% of 29)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJustADonk00gringo00beachboy4primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $9.0K——Broncos $6.8K
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.1K——Over $3.2K