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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| JustADonk | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (877–689, n=1566) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0K | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #428 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 63% (92 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −7 pts, n=100 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1581 at avg 57¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 17% of 175) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 299) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 58% of 717) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 83% of 390) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JustADonk | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $3.1K | — | Jets $192 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $3.4K | — | Cowboys $11K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $1.7K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Titans vs. Bengals same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $497 | — | Titans $658 |