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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Justluck9 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (128–167, n=295) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.6K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #947 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 132 at avg 47¢, ROI +49% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 94% of 16) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 42% (won 100% of 56) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 92% of 53) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Justluck9 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Buse | Zizou Bergs $3 | — | Ignacio Buse $42K | — |