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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Kaczka | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (436–409, n=845) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (5 of 12 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 64% (122 of 190 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 68% of 25) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 72% of 125) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 88% of 347) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 92% of 62) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Kaczka | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $300 | — | No $45K |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $45 | — | No $5.2K |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $55 | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K |