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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Kaczka | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (433–409, n=842) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14128–15613, n=29741) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (6 of 13 open) | 73% (81 of 111 open) | 55% (17 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 68% of 25) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 72% of 125) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 88% of 347) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 92% of 62) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Kaczka | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Brute | GenOne $81 | — | Brute $523 |