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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| KateBollinger | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (1226–601, n=1827) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.8K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #463 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (5 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 60% (27 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=54 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 1762 at avg 52¢, ROI +2% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 30% of 203) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 44% of 593) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 61% of 692) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 81% of 274) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | KateBollinger | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |