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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Kevindoto00gringo00BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)78% (236–66, n=302)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$563K$3.5M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #893 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus96% (23 of 24 open)no open consensus position74% (72 of 97 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicMentions −5 pts, n=11——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won84% of 525 at avg 82¢, ROI +5%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 15% of 48)0%10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 55% of 20)0%36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 61% of 28)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up82% (won 94% of 429)0%20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKevindoto00gringo00BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.1K—Yes $4.1K—