← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| KiruaTrading | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (216–146, n=362) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $21K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=37 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 315 at avg 48¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 18% of 124) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 45% of 44) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 76% of 45) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 95% of 102) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | KiruaTrading | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | No $202K | — | — |