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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1beachboy4joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGII
| LesterDiamond | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (3306–2624, n=5930) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $177K | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #713 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (32 of 40 open) | 90% (148 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | Weather −3 pts, n=392 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 3649 at avg 65¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 2% of 940) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 48% of 265) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 61% of 383) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 2061) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LesterDiamond | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | Yes $15K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $12K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | Yes $10K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | Yes $9.3K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | Yes $6.4K |