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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LongAndWindingRoad | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (36–11, n=47) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 50% (992–980, n=1972) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −5 pts, n=30 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 114 at avg 76¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 8% of 13) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 43% of 7) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 60% of 10) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 90% of 84) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LongAndWindingRoad | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.0K | — | No $202K | — |