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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LornaPredicts | beachboy4 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 12% (1063–7590, n=8653) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9K | $5.8M | $194K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #776 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (34 of 71 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 86% (134 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | Economy −4 pts, n=144 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 5% of 4406 at avg 6¢, ROI −1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 95% (won 2% of 4189) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 28% of 65) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 50% of 42) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 79% of 110) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LornaPredicts | beachboy4 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | — | Yes $7.9K |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | — | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6 | — | — | Yes $25 |