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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LucasCosta. | BreakTheBank | CORGII | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (321–470, n=791) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$21K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #988 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 555 at avg 48¢, ROI +11% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 25% of 85) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 54% of 212) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 67% of 198) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 83% of 60) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LucasCosta. | BreakTheBank | CORGII | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz | Legacy $1.0K | — | TheMongolz $15K | — |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming $327 | — | Liquid $12K | — |