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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LucasCosta. | RN1 | CORGII | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (321–472, n=793) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$22K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #988 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 555 at avg 48¢, ROI +11% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 25% of 85) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 54% of 212) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 67% of 198) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 83% of 60) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LucasCosta. | RN1 | CORGII | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz | Legacy $508 | — | TheMongolz $30K | — |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming $329 | — | Liquid $12K | — |