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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LucasCosta. | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (321–470, n=791) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | -$21K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #988 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 555 at avg 48¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 25% of 85) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 54% of 212) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 67% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 83% of 60) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LucasCosta. | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $1.1M | Eagles $2.7K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $44K | Eagles $1.3K |