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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Melody626 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (666–405, n=1071) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $981K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #567 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (32 of 39 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 938 at avg 62¢, ROI +12% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 17% of 78) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 58% of 119) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 83% of 367) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 97% of 374) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Melody626 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | No $117K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $33K | No $32K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | Yes $30K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | Yes $170K | — | — |