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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| MenacingTurtle | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (108–101, n=209) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 61% (495–321, n=816) |
| Consensus PnL | $138K | $11.0M | $5.6M | -$352K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #492 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (34 of 49 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (9 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 164 at avg 63¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 7% of 43) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 27% of 11) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 82% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 95% of 99) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MenacingTurtle | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $38 | Yes $164 | — | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | Yes $22K | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.1K | Yes $15K | — | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $2 | No $8.8K | — | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $429 | Yes $2.6K | — | — |