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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| MinevaJ | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (541–358, n=899) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$53K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #827 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 89% (128 of 144 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 721 at avg 72¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 75% of 64) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 86% of 79) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 96% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 100% of 445) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MinevaJ | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $2.3K | — | No $7.7K | — |