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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MisTKybeachboy4CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)78% (283–82, n=365)68% (43–20, n=63)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$321K$5.8M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #538 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #68was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus77% (24 of 31 open)100% (1 of 1 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEconomy −5 pts, n=15NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won78% of 596 at avg 76¢, ROI +1%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 11% of 76)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 37% of 27)29% (won 56% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 63% of 71)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 95% of 422)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.