← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Mr-Krabs | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (385–91, n=476) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $50K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (14 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −6 pts, n=52 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 700 at avg 80¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 9% of 43) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 29% of 31) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 52% of 52) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 82% (won 94% of 574) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Mr-Krabs | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $32K | — | No $184K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | — | Yes $28K |