← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NatoAlfista | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (4078–4117, n=8195) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $4.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #994 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 50% (7 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 2419 at avg 46¢, ROI +43% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 81% of 261) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 94% of 1153) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 97% of 993) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 83% of 12) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NatoAlfista | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $89 | — | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | Patriots $148 | — | — | Patriots $1.8K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Patriots $70 | — | — | Patriots $1.3K |
| Spread: Patriots (-6.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | Dolphins $40 | — | — | Dolphins $1.1K |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $10 | — | — | Over $7 |