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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Nooserac00gringo00CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (5263–4808, n=10071)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.5M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #40was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus73% (44 of 60 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)55% (12 of 22 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164———
Settled positions, side won54% of 10044 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1317)0%9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3583)0%56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3478)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1666)0%2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooserac00gringo00CORGIIprimm
Chargers vs. Rams
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $33K——Chargers $1.1K
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.3K——Over $3.0K
Spread: Rams (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.3K——Rams $768
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $13K——Broncos $6.8K
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Patriots $4.1K——Patriots $1.3K