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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Nooserac00gringo00beachboy4primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (5263–4808, n=10071)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.5M$5.8M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #40was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus72% (43 of 60 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)52% (11 of 21 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won54% of 10044 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1317)0%3% (won 17% of 6)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3583)0%29% (won 56% of 62)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3478)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1666)0%14% (won 86% of 29)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooserac00gringo00beachboy4primm
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.3K——Over $3.0K
Spread: Rams (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.3K——Rams $768
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $13K——Broncos $6.8K
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Patriots $4.1K——Patriots $1.3K