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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NordhavenCapRN1BreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)59% (1964–1342, n=3306)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)45% (537–650, n=1187)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$312K$13.4M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #206PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)61% (11 of 18 open)85% (55 of 65 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +27 pts n=1297, ROI +25%
  • NHL +29 pts n=117, ROI +27%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won90% of 1418 at avg 63¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 60% of 211)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 91% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)0%
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 92% of 302)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 98% of 702)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNordhavenCapRN1BreakTheBank00gringo00
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $65Commanders $82K—
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $125Commanders $32K—
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $167No $3.0K——