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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NotJump | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 34% (3242–6178, n=9420) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $435K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $19.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #963 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (9 of 18 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −31 pts, n=51 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 4267 at avg 45¢, ROI −9% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 4% of 1603) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 20% of 790) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 43% of 856) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 86% of 1018) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NotJump | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $134 | No $7.7K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche | Luca Van Assche $2.9K | Mariano Navone $631 | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar same side · consensus Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar $2.3K | Rafael Jodar $1.1K | — | — |