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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| OLOTH | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (505–24, n=529) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$20K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (16 of 16 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (73 of 102 open) | 67% (14 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=85 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 741 at avg 98¢, ROI 0% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 25% of 4) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 99% (won 99% of 737) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | OLOTH | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | No $184K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.1K | Ravens $376 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cardinals $1.1K |