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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Obilic | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (126–121, n=247) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #987 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 99 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −7 pts, n=41 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 242 at avg 34¢, ROI +21% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 42% (won 25% of 101) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 54% of 76) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 79% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Obilic | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | — | Yes $37K | — |