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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| PaddyAlpha | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (541–257, n=798) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $22K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (66 of 110 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 928 at avg 78¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 10% of 146) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 27) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 79% of 52) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 97% of 703) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | PaddyAlpha | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $25 | — | Yes $18K | — |