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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Paul973973 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 91% (1059–102, n=1161) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #773 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (17 of 19 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 1066 at avg 94¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 43% of 7) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 57% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 98% (won 100% of 1047) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Paul973973 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.2K | No $184K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |