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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RLWG | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (5910–6260, n=12170) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | $3.5M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #645 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (21 of 44 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 75% (9 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 766 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 50% of 46) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 92% of 192) | 0% | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 98% of 476) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 52) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RLWG | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-13.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $2 | — | — | Cardinals $11K |