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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1thirdt1me
Record (consensus markets)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)97% (138–5, n=143)
Consensus PnL$14.9M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #32 + pinnedwas PM monthly #994
Sides with the consensus57% (16 of 28 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 131 at avg 70¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2594)5% (won 71% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5704)11% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 100% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8622)61% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1thirdt1me
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $3.9KJanice Tjen $1.4K
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
same side · consensus Edward Winter
Alafia Ayeni $128Alafia Ayeni $180