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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| primm | RN1 | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (1389–1566, n=2955) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) | 97% (138–5, n=143) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $14.9M | $21K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | was PM monthly #994 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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|
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 131 at avg 70¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 5% (won 71% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 11% (won 100% of 14) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 100% of 30) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 61% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | primm | RN1 | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter | — | Alafia Ayeni $128 | Edward Winter $1.7K |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Janice Tjen $13K | Janice Tjen $1.5K |