← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Rayaya | beachboy4 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (1148–747, n=1895) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$57K | $5.8M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #888 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 74% (71 of 96 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Esports −1 pts, n=1840 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1845 at avg 62¢, ROI −2% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 12% of 59) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 38% of 247) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 61% of 989) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 76% of 550) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Rayaya | beachboy4 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus Heroic | Heroic $1.8K | — | B8 $22K | — |
| Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS | DENDELE CS $1.7K | — | Imperial $7.9K | — |