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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ReformedxCORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (838–776, n=1614)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$17K$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #903PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus80% (8 of 10 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (79 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +45 pts n=538, ROI +44%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=198, ROI +39%
  • NBA +49 pts n=25, ROI +44%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 834 at avg 55¢, ROI +43%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 97% of 39)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 98% of 198)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢55% (won 99% of 462)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 99% of 135)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketReformedxCORGIIBreakTheBank
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Legacy
Legacy $4.2KTheMongolz $2.2K—
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $1.0K—Browns $297K
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $2.3K—Raiders $171K