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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Relaccsed00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)58% (979–715, n=1694)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$10K$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (20 of 40 open)no open consensus position72% (78 of 108 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −2 pts, n=459——
Settled positions, side won54% of 1193 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 11% of 383)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 37% of 166)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 57% of 156)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 92% of 488)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRelaccsed00gringo00BreakTheBank
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $426—No $35K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $74—No $21K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $286—Yes $2.2K