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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RelaccsedCORGII00gringo00RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (979–715, n=1694)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$10K$4.5M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus49% (20 of 41 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position63% (20 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicGeopolitics −2 pts, n=459———
Settled positions, side won54% of 1193 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 11% of 383)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 37% of 166)56% (won 99% of 223)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 57% of 156)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 92% of 488)2% (won 100% of 7)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.