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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Rex416 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (2552–1759, n=4311) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #407 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (79 of 98 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MMA −5 pts, n=192 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 4567 at avg 56¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 7% of 1289) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 36% of 541) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 61% of 650) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 90% of 2087) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Rex416 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $86 | Yes $4.7K | — | — |