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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RollAwayTheDew | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (405–362, n=767) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$38K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #738 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 39% (9 of 23 open) | 66% (106 of 161 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −3 pts, n=14 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 540 at avg 55¢, ROI +13% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 61% of 23) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 68% of 181) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 75% of 243) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 90% of 93) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RollAwayTheDew | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans vs. Bengals opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $671 | Titans $1.5K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | Raiders $498 | Jets $192 | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Falcons $380 | Buccaneers $9 | — | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $22 | Titans $302 | — | — |
| Colts vs. Jaguars same side · consensus Jaguars | Jaguars $244 | Jaguars $3.4K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3 | Under $2.3K | — | — |