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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RollAwayTheDewRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)53% (405–362, n=767)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL-$38K$13.4M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #738PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus53% (9 of 17 open)71% (15 of 21 open)74% (73 of 98 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −3 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won75% of 541 at avg 55¢, ROI +13%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 61% of 23)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 68% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 75% of 243)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 90% of 94)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRollAwayTheDewRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
Broncos $1.4K—Chiefs $1.2K—