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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SapporoAsahi | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (85–157, n=242) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) |
| Consensus PnL | -$98K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #390 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 89% (128 of 144 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 55 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 45% (won 100% of 25) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 95% of 22) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 100% of 6) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SapporoAsahi | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | No $407K | — | — |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $2 | Yes $22K | — | — |