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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Satanishippie00gringo00RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)49% (358–372, n=730)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)61% (393–247, n=640)
Consensus PnL-$82K$3.5M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #917was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won84% of 442 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 55% of 11)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 78% of 115)0%22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢63% (won 87% of 278)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 89% of 38)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSatanishippie00gringo00RN1CORGII
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming
Aurora Gaming $1.5K——Liquid $12K
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus TheMongolz
TheMongolz $4.5K——TheMongolz $30K