← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SmallFishGambler | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (23–12, n=35) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) |
| Consensus PnL | $20K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #636 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 7 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 33 at avg 45¢, ROI +27% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 56% of 9) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 67% of 12) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 78% of 9) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 100% of 3) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SmallFishGambler | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.8K | — | No $117K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.7K | — | Yes $34K | — |