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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SnakeBall | RN1 | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (16551–17317, n=33868) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $552K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #148 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (55 of 92 open) | 63% (20 of 32 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3778 at avg 65¢, ROI +46% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 100% of 366) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 790) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 100% of 759) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 49% (won 100% of 1863) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SnakeBall | RN1 | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $970 | No $3.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $40 | Magic $161 | — | — |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $771 | No $2.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $41 | Magic $228 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Magic | Celtics $40 | Celtics $3 | — | — |