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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SquirrelTheMerchant | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (80–54, n=134) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $59K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #851 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (26 of 33 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Finance −10 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 120 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 4% of 25) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 45% of 22) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 79% of 24) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 98% of 49) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SquirrelTheMerchant | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | No $112K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.2K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $1.1M | Commanders $27K | — |