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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SquirrelTheMerchant | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (80–54, n=134) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $60K | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #851 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (28 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 79% (53 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Finance −10 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 120 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 4% of 25) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 45% of 22) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 79% of 24) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 98% of 49) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SquirrelTheMerchant | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.5K | — | No $88K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $38K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | — | No $35K |