← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Stonktrader | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 80% (189–48, n=237) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $79K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #345 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (143 of 159 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 171 at avg 86¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 38% of 8) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 100% of 8) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 100% of 10) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 85% (won 99% of 145) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Stonktrader | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | — | — | No $250K |