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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| StudentMoney | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (850–286, n=1136) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$19K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #697 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 92% (11 of 12 open) | 64% (21 of 33 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 46% (6 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=192 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 76% of 1194 at avg 73¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 10% of 102) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 48% of 112) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 63% of 212) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 92% of 768) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | StudentMoney | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K |