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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
StupidMonkeyyy00gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)58% (126–91, n=217)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$8.1K$3.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #902was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus64% (27 of 42 open)no open consensus position71% (15 of 21 open)74% (73 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=16———
Settled positions, side won56% of 223 at avg 50¢, ROI +1%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 10% of 84)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 46% of 28)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 78% of 27)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 98% of 84)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.