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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SunflowaRebuildYearRN1
Record (consensus markets)81% (323–75, n=398)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$34K$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #485PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)58% (85 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won100% of 281 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 9)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢58% (won 100% of 164)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 102)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 6)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSunflowaRebuildYearRN1
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.1KBills $18K
Spread: Steelers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Browns $1.3KSteelers $4.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Colts $567Jaguars $2.5K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $818Under $2.2K
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $770Steelers $1.9K
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $1.2KTitans $696
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $41Ravens $647