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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TRCM | RN1 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (1735–1218, n=2953) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $573K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #205 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 67% (22 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 1371 at avg 62¢, ROI +23% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 24% of 199) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 76% of 173) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 95% of 343) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 48% (won 99% of 656) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TRCM | RN1 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Jonas Forejtek $10 | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — | — |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl same side · consensus Liam Draxl | Liam Draxl $2 | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — |